Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match.