Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Mar 15, 2025 at 8.05pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
1 - 0
Rennes

Said (47')
El Aynaoui (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kalimuendo (36')
Matusiwa (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Marseille 0-1 Lens
Saturday, March 8 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Rennes

All competitions

Last Game: Rennes 1-4 PSG
Saturday, March 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Rennes
38.45% ( 0.01)	25.74% ( -0.01)	35.81% ( 0)

Both teams to score 55.07% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.92% (

0.03)

49.07% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.84% (

0.03)

71.15% (

-0.03)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95% (

0.02)

25.04% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28% (

0.02)

59.72% (

-0.02)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.47% (

0.02)

26.52% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.27% (

0.02)

61.72% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Lens 38.45%

Rennes 35.81%

Draw 25.74%

Lens	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.64% Total : 38.45%	1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 35.81%