Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Apr 13, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps

Auxerre
1 - 3
Lyon

Sinayoko (77')
Diomande (2'), Leon (52'), Matondo (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mikautadze (54' pen.), Cherki (62'), Lacazette (84')
Almada (58'), Caleta-Car (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Rennes 0-1 Auxerre
Sunday, April 6 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 2-2 Man Utd
Thursday, April 10 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Auxerre	Draw	Lyon
25.87% ( -1.01)	23.99% ( -0.1)	50.14% ( 1.11)

Both teams to score 55.92% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.29% (

-0.33)

45.71% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.97% (

-0.31)

68.03% (

0.31)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.43% (

-0.96)

31.56% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.04% (

-1.12)

67.96% (

1.11)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.71% (

0.31)

18.28% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.64% (

0.52)

49.35% (

-0.53)

Score Analysis

Auxerre 25.87%

Lyon 50.14%

Draw 23.98%

Auxerre	Draw	Lyon
1-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.75% Total : 25.87%	1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.98%	0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 50.14%