Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.65%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%).