Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Mar 16, 2025 at 4.15pm UK

Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg
2 - 1
Toulouse

Lemarechal (47'), Santos (54')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Magri (3')
Magri (25'), Casseres Jr (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, March 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Monaco
Friday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Toulouse
30.92% ( -0.08)	26.68% ( -0.03)	42.4% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 50.76% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.96% (

0.09)

54.05% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.52% (

0.07)

75.48% (

-0.07)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.88% (

-0.01)

32.13% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.4% (

-0.01)

68.6% (

0.01)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.78% (

0.1)

25.22% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.04% (

0.13)

59.96% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 30.92%

Toulouse 42.4%

Draw 26.68%

Strasbourg	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 30.92%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.68%	0-1 @ 11.16% 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.4%