Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
Result | ||
St Louis City | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
45.22% ( -0.2) | 24.55% ( 0.22) | 30.23% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.31% ( -0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.62% ( -0.99) | 45.38% ( 0.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.28% ( -0.95) | 67.71% ( 0.95) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.83% ( -0.49) | 20.17% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.54% ( -0.78) | 52.46% ( 0.79) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.79% ( -0.51) | 28.21% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.09% ( -0.64) | 63.91% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
St Louis City | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.88% Total : 45.22% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 30.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |