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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 16
Jul 12, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Qingdao Tiantai Stadium
Shenzhen FC

Qingdao Jonoon
5 - 0
Shenzhen

Xinli (5'), Wang (71'), Brown Forbes (77', 83' pen., 88')
Andrejevic (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Liu (75'), Du (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Chinese Super League clash between Qingdao Jonoon and Shenzhen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Cangzhou
Friday, July 7 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 5-0 Shenzhen
Saturday, July 8 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Shenzhen

Both these sides have been very poor this season, and it is hard to make a confident case for either of them to go on to win this match. It should be an entertaining one, with both teams expected to go all out for the win, but we feel that they will have to settle for a share of the spoils in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Jonoon win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Jonoon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qingdao Jonoon would win this match.

Result
Qingdao JonoonDrawShenzhen
66.89% (-0.934 -0.93) 19.69% (0.416 0.42) 13.42% (0.518 0.52)
Both teams to score 48.29% (0.114 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92% (-0.635 -0.63)45.08% (0.636 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.58% (-0.612 -0.61)67.42% (0.613 0.61)
Qingdao Jonoon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (-0.44800000000001 -0.45)12.54% (0.449 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.42% (-0.94 -0.94)38.58% (0.941 0.94)
Shenzhen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.22% (0.41200000000001 0.41)44.78% (-0.41 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.24% (0.331 0.33)80.76% (-0.33 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Qingdao Jonoon 66.88%
    Shenzhen 13.42%
    Draw 19.7%
Qingdao JonoonDrawShenzhen
2-0 @ 12.1% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-0 @ 11.66% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 8.38% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-1 @ 6.73% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 4.35% (-0.188 -0.19)
4-1 @ 3.49% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.81% (-0.111 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.45% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 66.88%
1-1 @ 9.37% (0.198 0.2)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 19.7%
0-1 @ 4.51% (0.171 0.17)
1-2 @ 3.76% (0.121 0.12)
0-2 @ 1.81% (0.089 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.01% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 13.42%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 1
Shenzhen
2-1
Qingdao Jonoon
Mincheng (30'), Shahsat (42' pen.)
Andrejevic (65')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS


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