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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2023 at 1.32am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
New York City

Inter Miami
1 - 1
NY City

Aviles (90+5')
Cremaschi (33'), Aviles (40'), Farias (62'), Krivtsov (69'), Arroyo (70'), Allen (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodriguez (77')
Ledezma (52'), Jasson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 3-0 Toronto
Sunday, September 24 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 New York City FC

Tata Martino has proven to be a resourceful manager who seems to find an approach that works with the players available, and if Messi and Alba cannot play, there are still plenty of attacking options for a Miami side who have excelled under the Argentine boss. NYCFC have a lot of momentum on their side, but they are playing a team that will have a much greater sense of urgency than Orlando City and Toronto, and we expect the Pigeons to be hindered by a well-organised Miami defensive unit.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawNew York City FC
44.01% (-3.576 -3.58) 25.66% (0.727 0.73) 30.33% (2.849 2.85)
Both teams to score 53.68% (-0.53 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.86% (-1.529 -1.53)50.13% (1.531 1.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.9% (-1.375 -1.38)72.1% (1.376 1.38)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29% (-2.244 -2.24)22.71% (2.244 2.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.63% (-3.441 -3.44)56.37% (3.443 3.44)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46% (1.297 1.3)30.54% (-1.295 -1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23% (1.509 1.51)66.77% (-1.509 -1.51)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 44.01%
    New York City FC 30.33%
    Draw 25.66%
Inter MiamiDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.28% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.346 -0.35)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.578 -0.58)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.496 -0.5)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.57 -0.57)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.191 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.313 -0.31)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.324 -0.32)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 44.01%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.36 0.36)
0-0 @ 6.93% (0.419 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.769 0.77)
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.462 0.46)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.611 0.61)
1-3 @ 2.86% (0.276 0.28)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.3 0.3)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 30.33%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs NY City

Inter Miami
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
New York City FC
20.0%
30
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 12.30am
Oct 18, 2022 12am
Jul 24, 2022 12am
Oct 30, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 44
Inter Miami
1-3
NY City
Figal (56')
Shea (29'), Gregore (45+4'), Gonzalez Pirez (81')
Castellanos (33', 60'), Magno (83')
Callens (52'), Medina (57'), Deila (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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