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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 5pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Roma logo

Cagliari
1 - 4
Roma

Nandez (87' pen.)
Sulemana (14'), Mourinho (44+44'), Obert (61')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Aouar (19'), Lukaku (20', 59'), Belotti (51')
Paredes (11'), Aouar (32'), Mourinho (44'), Bove (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 3-0 Cagliari
Monday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 4-0 Servette
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Cagliari 0-2 Roma

Cagliari's wait for a win will go on, as even a Roma side that struggles to produce results on the road should have too much firepower for the Isolani to contain. Further relieving the pressure on Jose Mourinho, the visitors may be injury-hit but are rich in attacking talent and can rack up three straight victories in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawRoma
29.09% (0.833 0.83) 27.95% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 42.96% (-0.79 -0.79)
Both teams to score 46.24% (0.563 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.6% (0.498 0.5)59.39% (-0.503 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.22% (0.38 0.38)79.77% (-0.38600000000001 -0.39)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.68% (0.934 0.93)36.32% (-0.94 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.89% (0.935 0.93)73.1% (-0.94199999999999 -0.94)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.61% (-0.187 -0.19)27.39% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.14% (-0.241 -0.24)62.86% (0.233 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 29.08%
    Roma 42.96%
    Draw 27.94%
CagliariDrawRoma
1-0 @ 10.07% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.61% (0.176 0.18)
2-0 @ 5.1% (0.161 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.23% (0.114 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.72% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.44% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 29.08%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.95% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 12.88% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.34% (-0.247 -0.25)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.6% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 42.96%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Roma

Cagliari
11.4%
Draw
11.4%
Roma
77.3%
44
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 22
Roma
1-0
Cagliari
Oliveras (33' pen.)
Oliveras (23'), Mancini (39'), Afena-Gyan (58')

Pavoletti (25'), Carboni (27'), Henrique (32'), Altare (70')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Cagliari
1-2
Roma
Pavoletti (52')
Pedro (73'), Lykogiannis (77'), Bellanova (87')
Ibanez (71'), Pellegrini (78')
Zaniolo (38'), Pellegrini (79'), Abraham (80'), Calafiori (83')
Apr 25, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 33
Cagliari
3-2
Roma
Lykogiannis (4'), Marin (57'), Pedro (64')
Marin (53'), Pedro (80'), Duncan (90+3')
Perez (27'), Fazio (69')
Cristante (83')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Roma
3-2
Cagliari
Veretout (11'), Dzeko (71'), Mancini (77')
Cristante (19'), Mancini (37'), Kumbulla (60')
Pedro (59', 90+1')
Zappa (20'), Nandez (29')
Mar 1, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 26
Cagliari
3-4
Roma
Pedro (28', 89'), Pereiro (75')
Pedro (35'), Simeone (69'), Pellegrini (80'), Ragatzu (90')
Kalinic (29', 41'), Kluivert (64'), Mkhitaryan (81')
Under (34'), Villar (55'), Kluivert (78'), Santon (90'), Lopez (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio361851347371059
8Napoli361312115346751
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza351112123846-845
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
16FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
17Empoli3688202652-2632
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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