Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Rampla Juniors win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Boston River in this match.