Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 39.94%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 28.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 2-1 (7.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.99%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Alaves |
39.94% ( 0.04) | 31.59% ( -0.07) | 28.47% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 37.1% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
29.56% ( 0.17) | 70.44% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
12.48% ( 0.11) | 87.51% ( -0.11) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.22% ( 0.12) | 34.78% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.49% ( 0.13) | 71.51% ( -0.13) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.88% ( 0.12) | 43.12% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.61% ( 0.11) | 79.39% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 15.83% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 39.94% | 0-0 @ 14.99% ( -0.1) 1-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 31.58% | 0-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 28.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |