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Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Los Angeles
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Biuk (3'), Vela (90+5' pen.)
Maldonado (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Trauco (52')
Judson (89'), Beason (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 Earthquakes
Monday, May 15 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes

Although San Jose have performed above expectations under their new manager, we expect Los Angeles to have too much individual quality for them this weekend. The MLS Cup holders will be highly motivated by the possibility of heading towards the top of the Western Conference table with a victory, especially having failed to win their last league game.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 72.2%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 11.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
72.2% (-0.405 -0.41) 16.36% (0.464 0.46) 11.44% (-0.06 -0.06)
Both teams to score 54.04% (-2.164 -2.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.54% (-2.577 -2.58)34.45% (2.578 2.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.62% (-2.958 -2.96)56.38% (2.957 2.96)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.66% (-0.708 -0.71)8.33% (0.7081 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.95% (-1.793 -1.79)29.04% (1.793 1.79)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.95% (-1.891 -1.89)41.05% (1.891 1.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.4% (-1.728 -1.73)77.59% (1.728 1.73)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 72.19%
    San Jose Earthquakes 11.44%
    Draw 16.36%
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-0 @ 10.56% (0.672 0.67)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.132 0.13)
3-0 @ 8.75% (0.264 0.26)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.816 0.82)
3-1 @ 7.79% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-0 @ 5.43% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.84% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.261 -0.26)
5-0 @ 2.7% (-0.11 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.4% (-0.23 -0.23)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.245 -0.25)
6-0 @ 1.12% (-0.087 -0.09)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.164 -0.16)
6-1 @ 1% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 72.19%
1-1 @ 7.57% (0.364 0.36)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 3.42% (0.435 0.44)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.36%
1-2 @ 3.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.05% (0.246 0.25)
0-2 @ 1.36% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 11.44%

Head to Head
May 7, 2023 12.30am
Aug 21, 2022 3am
Earthquakes
2-1
Los Angeles
Kikanovic (14'), Cowell (77')
Thompson (30'), Cardoso (31'), Kikanovic (60'), Remedi (74')
Opoku (54')
Ibeagha (42'), Acosta (67'), Sanchez (67'), Cifuentes (86'), Arango (90+6')
Sanchez (79')
May 28, 2022 11pm
Los Angeles
3-2
Earthquakes
Arango (8' pen.), Hollingshead (13'), Rodriguez (47')
Rodriguez (19'), Musovski (76'), Acosta (77'), Crisostomo (90+4')
Ebobisse (16', 31')
Espinoza (17')
Oct 16, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 39
Los Angeles
3-1
Earthquakes
Musovski (3'), Arango (28' pen., 88')
Murillo (81'), Arango (86'), Farfan (90+3')
Fierro (61')
Marcinkowski (28'), Lopez (40'), Judson (90+9')
Sep 26, 2021 3am
gameweek 35
Earthquakes
2-0
Los Angeles
Kikanovic (3'), Lopez (47')
Cardoso (31'), Espinoza (34'), Abecasis (64'), Lopez (86')

Crisostomo (39'), Cifuentes (75'), Edwards (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7New York City FCNY City104241110114
8DC United113531617-114
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
5Austin FCAustin114431413116
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
12Seattle SoundersSeattle10235131309
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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