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League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Reading logo

Cheltenham
2 - 2
Reading

Sercombe (29'), Button (37' og.)
Pett (68'), Smith (79')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Dorsett (45'), Mukairu (45+2')
Mbengue (27'), Smith (32'), Dorsett (36'), Knibbs (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-2 Reading
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-2 Reading

Reading have the worst away record in League One this season, collecting just five points from 11 matches, but we are expecting them to pick up all three points here despite Cheltenham's recent improvement. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawReading
33.94% (0.187 0.19) 25.72% (0.0010000000000012 0) 40.34% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 54.85% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.77% (0.044000000000004 0.04)49.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.71% (0.038999999999998 0.04)71.29% (-0.035999999999987 -0.04)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (0.137 0.14)27.72% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (0.175 0.17)63.28% (-0.171 -0.17)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89% (-0.074999999999989 -0.07)24.12% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58% (-0.108 -0.11)58.42% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 33.95%
    Reading 40.34%
    Draw 25.71%
Cheltenham TownDrawReading
1-0 @ 8.58% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 9.51% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 40.34%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Reading

Cheltenham Town
12.5%
Draw
25.0%
Reading
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Reading
1-0
Cheltenham
Ferry (33' og.)
Carson (49'), McIntyre (90+6')

Elliott (0'), Long (38'), Street (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
2Derby CountyDerby462881078374192
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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