Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 56.34%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 21.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Charlotte FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
56.34% ( -0.42) | 22.01% ( 0.2) | 21.64% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 57.5% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.75% ( -0.69) | 41.25% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.35% ( -0.7) | 63.64% ( 0.69) |
Charlotte FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.5% ( -0.37) | 14.49% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.51% ( -0.71) | 42.48% ( 0.7) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.25% ( -0.2) | 32.74% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.69% ( -0.22) | 69.3% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Charlotte FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.03% Total : 56.34% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 21.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |