MX23RW : Saturday, May 4 05:56:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 2, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Portimonense

Casa Pia
1 - 0
Portimonense

Justo (55')
Justo (13'), Moreira (14'), Dias (42'), Geraldes (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pedrao (67'), Jasper (74'), Varela (90+3')
Cassama (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Casa Pia (6-5 pen.)
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Portimonense 1-4 Braga
Saturday, November 25 at 3.30pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Casa Pia 0-1 Portimonense

Nothing seems to be clicking for Casa Pia at the moment, and their lack of goals this season does not bode well for their chances of avoiding the drop. Portimonense will be licking their lips at this one, knowing that their opponents are in a bad way. We are expecting a low-scoring affair here and feel as though the first goal could end up being the winner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawPortimonense
45.52% (-0.109 -0.11) 26.21% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 28.26% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.77% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)53.36% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (-0.058 -0.06)74.9% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)23.38% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.64% (-0.118 -0.12)57.35% (0.118 0.12)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (0.028999999999996 0.03)33.73% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (0.031000000000002 0.03)70.39% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 45.52%
    Portimonense 28.26%
    Draw 26.21%
Casa PiaDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.33% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 45.52%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.029000000000002 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.77% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 28.26%

Head to Head
May 5, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 31
Casa Pia
1-1
Portimonense
Soares (68')
Rochez (90+5')
Dec 28, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 14
Portimonense
1-2
Casa Pia
Luquinhas (35' pen.)
Neto (31' og.), Antoine (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Swiatek
Sabalenka
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon31263289296081
2Benfica31244371254676
3Porto31196657263163
4Braga31195764442062
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes31186746321460
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca311361253421145
8FamalicaoFamalicao31812113339-636
9Casa Pia3198143344-1135
10SC FarenseFarense3197154244-234
11Estoril PraiaEstoril3196164652-633
12Rio AveRio Ave3151793339-632
13Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
14BoavistaBoavista3179153557-2230
15Estrela Amadora31611143249-1729
16PortimonensePortimonense3177173466-3228
17ChavesChaves3158183165-3423
18Vizela32410183064-3422


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