Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Portimonense |
45.52% ( -0.11) | 26.21% ( 0.03) | 28.26% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 50.77% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.64% ( -0.07) | 53.36% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.1% ( -0.06) | 74.9% ( 0.06) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.62% ( -0.08) | 23.38% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.64% ( -0.12) | 57.35% ( 0.12) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.27% ( 0.03) | 33.73% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.61% ( 0.03) | 70.39% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 45.52% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 28.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |