Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 5

May 4, 2024 at 3pm UK

Edmond Machtens-Stadion

RWDM
1 - 3
Charleroi

Gueye (63')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Dari (7'), Dragsnes (35'), Guiagon (39')
Andreou (87')

Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between RWD Molenbeek and Charleroi.

Form, Standings, Stats

RWD Molenbeek

All competitions

Last Game: RWDM 0-1 Kortrijk
Sunday, April 28 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Charleroi

All competitions

Last Game: Eupen 1-2 Charleroi
Friday, April 26 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest RWD Molenbeek win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.

Result
RWD Molenbeek	Draw	Charleroi
31.16% ( 0.56)	24.91% ( -0.14)	43.93% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 56.57% (

0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.45% (

0.86)

46.55% (

-0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.17% (

0.8)

68.83% (

-0.8)

RWD Molenbeek Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.82% (

0.8)

28.18% (

-0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.13% (

63.87% (

-1)

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.77% (

0.17)

21.23% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.87% (

0.26)

54.13% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

RWD Molenbeek 31.16%

Charleroi 43.93%

Draw 24.91%

RWD Molenbeek	Draw	Charleroi
1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.16%	1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.91%	0-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 43.93%