Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trencin win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Zemplin Michalovce had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trencin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Zemplin Michalovce win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Trencin in this match.