Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trencin win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Banska Bystrica had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trencin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Banska Bystrica win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.