Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Maccabi Bnei Raina had a probability of 17.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Maccabi Bnei Raina win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.