Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.