Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.