Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 52.93%. A win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 23.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Maccabi Haifa win was 0-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.