La Liga | Gameweek 33
May 4, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Sevilla3 - 2Espanyol
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sevilla 0-2 Girona
Monday, May 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Monday, May 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Espanyol 1-0 Getafe
Sunday, April 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, April 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Sevilla 2-1 Espanyol
The visitors will be looking to take advantage of a Sevilla side that may have one eye on next week's Europa League clash with Juventus. However, Espanyol's backline has struggled in recent away games, and we think that their defensive vulnerability will help Sevilla claim a narrow home win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Espanyol |
58.82% ( 0.68) | 22.8% ( -0.29) | 18.37% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 49.59% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
