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J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jul 1, 2023 at 10am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 0
Kawasaki

Junker (41'), Izumi (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Kawasaki Frontale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 1-1 Kawasaki
Saturday, June 24 at 11.30am in J1 League

We said: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Kawasaki Frontale

After a slip-up away in Tokyo last week, Nagoya will expect to get back to winning ways here and keep up their impressive home unbeaten record in the league. Kawasaki have been tough to beat though, and should put up a good fight in what could be an intriguing encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawKawasaki Frontale
31.19% (0.384 0.38) 26.84% (-0.029 -0.03) 41.98% (-0.352 -0.35)
Both teams to score 50.4% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45% (0.253 0.25)54.55% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (0.209 0.21)75.9% (-0.208 -0.21)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8% (0.405 0.41)32.2% (-0.403 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.32% (0.456 0.46)68.68% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33% (-0.068000000000012 -0.07)25.67% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.43% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)60.57% (0.095000000000006 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 31.19%
    Kawasaki Frontale 41.97%
    Draw 26.83%
Nagoya GrampusDrawKawasaki Frontale
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.22% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.01% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.19%
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 11.23% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.64% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 41.97%

How you voted: Nagoya Grampus vs Kawasaki

Nagoya Grampus
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Kawasaki Frontale
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 7am
Gameweek 8
Kawasaki
1-2
Nagoya Grampus
Miyashiro (56')
Sep 14, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 22
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Kawasaki
Inagaki (74')
Tachibanada (61')
Mar 12, 2022 8am
Gameweek 4
Kawasaki
1-0
Nagoya Grampus
Marcinho (25')
Songkrasin (15')

Morishita (75')
May 4, 2021 7am
Gameweek 12
Kawasaki
3-2
Nagoya Grampus
Jesiel (31'), Yamane (50'), Maruyama (59' og.)
Inagaki (73'), Mateus (83')
Apr 29, 2021 7am
Gameweek 22
Nagoya Grampus
0-4
Kawasaki
Hatate (3'), Damiao (11', 23'), Tono (84')
Hatate (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia117131510522
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe11623167920
3Cerezo OsakaCerezo115511610620
4Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima11470178919
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers116141512319
6FC Tokyo115331916318
7Yokohama F MarinosYokohama104421512316
8Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus115151012-216
9Avispa Fukuoka1136299015
10Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka11434910-115
11Jubilo Iwata114251614214
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa114251516-114
13Kashiwa ReysolReysol1035289-114
14Tokyo Verdy112721413113
15Albirex Niigata113441013-313
16Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki113351514112
17Kyoto Sanga11236915-69
18Sagan Tosu112271221-98
19Consadole SapporoConsadole111551021-118
20Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare111461523-87


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