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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 18
Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Peterborough United

Exeter
2 - 1
Peterborough

Cole (75'), Katongo (80' og.)
Niskanen (9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burrows (32' pen.)
Olakigbe (36'), Knight (90+5')
Olakigbe (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Exeter City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 0-2 Peterborough United

This is a tough ask for Exeter against a talented Peterborough outfit. The home side are capable of making it a frustrating evening for Ferguson's team, but we are expecting the visitors to navigate their way to an important three points in Tuesday night's affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 20.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Exeter City win it was 2-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough United
20.44% (-1.481 -1.48) 22.02% (-0.38 -0.38) 57.55% (1.866 1.87)
Both teams to score 55.64% (-0.944 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.14% (-0.198 -0.2)42.86% (0.205 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.74% (-0.197 -0.2)65.26% (0.20299999999999 0.2)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19% (-1.528 -1.53)34.81% (1.534 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.46% (-1.648 -1.65)71.54% (1.652 1.65)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (0.542 0.54)14.65% (-0.537 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.22% (1.029 1.03)42.78% (-1.024 -1.02)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 20.44%
    Peterborough United 57.55%
    Draw 22.01%
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 5.45% (-0.313 -0.31)
1-0 @ 5.38% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-0 @ 2.84% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-0 @ 1% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 20.44%
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.01%
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.27 0.27)
0-2 @ 9.41% (0.431 0.43)
1-3 @ 6.36% (0.151 0.15)
0-3 @ 6.02% (0.384 0.38)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.05% (0.128 0.13)
0-4 @ 2.89% (0.235 0.24)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.17% (0.071 0.07)
0-5 @ 1.11% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 57.55%

How you voted: Exeter vs Peterborough

Exeter City
18.5%
Draw
7.4%
Peterborough United
74.1%
27
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Peterborough
3-1
Exeter
Hartridge (8' og.), Mason-Clark (41'), Clarke-Harris (70')
Harper (46')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Exeter
3-2
Peterborough
Dieng (28'), Nombe (86'), Brown (90+1')
Dec 4, 2018 7.15pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-2
Peterborough

Ogbene (60'), Oates (84')
Toney (67'), Cummings (77')
Toney (60'), Maddison (70'), Woodyard (86')
Nov 9, 2013 3pm
Mar 5, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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