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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
2 - 1
Al Fateh

Romarinho (38'), Kante (45+1')
Kadesh (12'), Romarinho (53'), Alolayan (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Saadane (30')
Sadiq Alhassan (9'), Saadane (67'), Al Saeed (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al Fateh, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Ittihad 3-0 AGMK
Monday, September 18 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Khaleej 1-3 Al Fateh
Friday, September 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 3-1 Al Fateh

Al Fateh have put together a fine run of results in recent weeks but are now faced with a difficult challenge of a sterner and more formidable opposition in Al Ittihad. The Tigers have enjoyed the better of this fixture, going unbeaten in 16 of their last 20 meetings, and we fancy them claiming all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Al Fateh had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Al Fateh win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl Fateh
45.5% (-0.342 -0.34) 25.15% (0.24 0.24) 29.35% (0.099 0.1)
Both teams to score 54.8% (-0.734 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57% (-0.99 -0.99)48.43% (0.987 0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (-0.91 -0.91)70.56% (0.90599999999999 0.91)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (-0.56099999999999 -0.56)21.3% (0.557 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (-0.872 -0.87)54.24% (0.869 0.87)
Al Fateh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.63% (-0.43599999999999 -0.44)30.37% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.44% (-0.522 -0.52)66.56% (0.518 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 45.5%
    Al Fateh 29.35%
    Draw 25.15%
Al IttihadDrawAl Fateh
1-0 @ 10% (0.233 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 45.5%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.259 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.59% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 29.35%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al Fateh

Al Ittihad
95.7%
Draw
4.3%
Al Fateh
0.0%
23
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal29272089187183
2Al-Nassr30242490355574
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli29167658312755
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun30149748341451
5Al Ittihad301551056431350
6Al ShababAl Shabab30118114136541
7Al Fateh30118115046441
8Al Ettifaq30101193632441
9Al Fayha30118114047-741
10Damac30108124139238
11Al Khaleej3099123240-836
12Al WahdaAl Wahda3095164155-1432
13Al RaedAl Raed3087153847-931
14Al Riyadh3078152853-2529
15Al Okhdood3084182747-2028
16Abha3084183479-4528
17Al Tai3076172957-2827
18Al Hazem30311162968-3920


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