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Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Mar 3, 2024 at 4pm UK
Merkur Arena
Wolfsberger

Sturm Graz
4 - 0
Wolfsberger

Biereth (66'), Sarkaria (70'), Lavalee (85'), Affengruber (89')
Kiteishvili (2'), Gorenc Stankovic (27')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Altunashvili (55'), Zimmermann (58'), Bonmann (70'), Boakye (83'), Baumgartner (90+3')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Wolfsberger.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swarovski 0-2 Sturm Graz
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: LASK 0-1 Wolfsberger
Saturday, February 24 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Wolfsberger win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawWolfsberger
48.33% (-0.315 -0.31) 24.91% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 26.76% (0.345 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.69% (0.387 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.98% (0.369 0.37)49.02% (-0.371 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.9% (0.332 0.33)71.1% (-0.331 -0.33)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.68% (0.016999999999996 0.02)20.32% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.3% (0.022999999999996 0.02)52.7% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Wolfsberger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38% (0.47 0.47)32.62% (-0.471 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.84% (0.523 0.52)69.16% (-0.524 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 48.32%
    Wolfsberger 26.76%
    Draw 24.91%
Sturm GrazDrawWolfsberger
1-0 @ 10.56% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.47% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.78% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 48.32%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.061 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.63% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 26.76%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 10
Wolfsberger
1-2
Sturm Graz
Dante (40' og.)
Leitgeb (3'), Altunashvili (64'), Scherzer (81')
Sarkaria (54'), Kiteishvili (59')
Hierlander (42'), Wuthrich (70'), Gorenc Stankovic (75'), Scherpen (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Relegation Round
1Wolfsberger93423838028
2Austria ViennaAustria Vienna92433333026
3BW Linz93423246-1422
4Rheindorf AltachRheindorf Altach92522538-1320
5WSG Swarovski TirolSwarovski93332852-2419
6Austria Lustenau92432056-3615
Championship Round
1Sturm Graz953154233141
2Red Bull SalzburgSalzburg942367283939
3LASK LinzLASK952242261634
4Rapid Vienna933347321528
5Hartberg92254652-625
6Austria KlagenfurtAustria Klagenfurt91264048-822
 
Regular Season
1Red Bull SalzburgSalzburg22155245123350
2Sturm Graz22137237152246
3LASK LinzLASK229852618835
4Austria KlagenfurtAustria Klagenfurt2281042927234
5Hartberg229763328534
6Rapid Vienna2289538211733
7Austria ViennaAustria Vienna229672522333
8Wolfsberger228682932-330
9Rheindorf AltachRheindorf Altach2247111730-1319
10BW Linz2247112238-1619
11WSG Swarovski TirolSwarovski2242162042-2214
12Austria Lustenau2224161349-3610


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