Brasileiro | Gameweek 36
Nov 29, 2023 at 11pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia0 - 1Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Sao Paulo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Corinthians 1-5 Bahia
Saturday, November 25 at 12am in Brasileiro
Saturday, November 25 at 12am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
44
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Cuiaba
Sunday, November 26 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, November 26 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bahia | Draw | Sao Paulo |
41.89% ( -0.2) | 27.12% ( -0.05) | 30.99% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 49.45% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.28% ( 0.28) | 55.72% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.13% ( 0.23) | 76.86% ( -0.22) |
Bahia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.75% ( 0.02) | 26.25% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.64% ( 0.03) | 61.36% ( -0.02) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.05% ( 0.33) | 32.94% ( -0.33) |