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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 5
Sep 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
3 - 4
Al-Hilal

Romarinho (16'), Benzema (38'), Hamdallah (45+8')
Hawsawi (41'), Bamsaud (63'), Al-Amri (90+12')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Mitrovic (20', 60', 65' pen.), Al-Dawsari (71')
Albulayhi (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Wahda 0-3 Al Ittihad
Monday, August 28 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-0 Al Ettifaq
Monday, August 28 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 2-2 Al-Hilal

Given the number of stars and talents scattered across both teams, we anticipate a thrilling affair at the Prince Abdullah Al Faisal Stadium. Both sides are evenly matched on paper and we see them cancelling out each other's efforts in a high-scoring stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl-Hilal
29.26% (-0.853 -0.85) 27.39% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 43.34% (0.808 0.81)
Both teams to score 47.88% (-0.538 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.64% (-0.486 -0.49)57.35% (0.485 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.82% (-0.389 -0.39)78.18% (0.387 0.39)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.91% (-0.904 -0.9)35.08% (0.90300000000001 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.17% (-0.96 -0.96)71.83% (0.958 0.96)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (0.19500000000001 0.2)26.24% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65% (0.264 0.26)61.34% (-0.265 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 29.26%
    Al-Hilal 43.33%
    Draw 27.39%
Al IttihadDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 9.64% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.76% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-1 @ 2.36% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 29.26%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 9.21% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 12.31% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.24% (0.243 0.24)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.68% (0.128 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.33%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al-Hilal

Al Ittihad
48.6%
Draw
20.0%
Al-Hilal
31.4%
35
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal29272089187183
2Al-Nassr30242490355574
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli29167658312755
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun30149748341451
5Al Ittihad301551056431350
6Al ShababAl Shabab30118114136541
7Al Fateh30118115046441
8Al Ettifaq30101193632441
9Al Fayha30118114047-741
10Damac30108124139238
11Al Khaleej3099123240-836
12Al WahdaAl Wahda3095164155-1432
13Al RaedAl Raed3087153847-931
14Al Riyadh3078152853-2529
15Al Okhdood3084182747-2028
16Abha3084183479-4528
17Al Tai3076172957-2827
18Al Hazem30311162968-3920


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