MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 08:22:09| >> :60:271:271:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 19, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio El Teniente

Palestino
1 - 0
Estudiantes

Davila (53')
Carrasco (33'), Salas (39'), Farias (61')
Farias (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Flores (29'), Gomez (61'), Paredes (75'), Canelon (87'), Matos (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Palestino and Estudiantes Merida.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palestino

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Last Game: Fortaleza 4-0 Palestino
Wednesday, April 5 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Estudiantes Merida

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Last Game: Estudiantes 0-1 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Estudiantes Merida win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palestino in this match.

Result
PalestinoDrawEstudiantes Merida
51.63% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 23.8% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 24.57% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.2% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.95% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)46.05% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)68.35% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)17.84% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)48.6% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Estudiantes Merida Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)32.81% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.62% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)69.38% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Palestino 51.63%
    Estudiantes Merida 24.57%
    Draw 23.8%
PalestinoDrawEstudiantes Merida
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5%
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 51.63%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.86% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.8%
0-1 @ 6.52% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 24.57%

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