Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maidenhead United | Draw | Oxford City |
36.1% ( 1.3) | 26.69% ( 0.67) | 37.2% ( -1.97) |
Both teams to score 51.91% ( -2.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.88% ( -2.71) | 53.11% ( 2.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.3% ( -2.35) | 74.69% ( 2.35) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.72% ( -0.52) | 28.28% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36% ( -0.66) | 63.99% ( 0.66) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.37% ( -2.36) | 27.62% ( 2.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.84% ( -3.14) | 63.16% ( 3.14) |
Score Analysis |
Maidenhead United | Draw | Oxford City |
1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.88) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.47) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.1% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.8) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.29) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.4) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.29) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.91% Total : 37.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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