MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 18:41:38| >> :600:5016474:5016474:
Bristol City
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Oxford United

Bristol City
5 - 1
Oxford Utd

Cornick (15'), Knight (35', 47'), Wells (51'), Naismith (62')
Dickie (55'), Roberts (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bodin (30')
Brown (45+4'), Murphy (70'), Rodrigues (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Bristol City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Preston
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Oxford United

Pearson will make changes for this contest in a bid to assess his squad depth ahead of the end of the transfer window. That should give the visitors an opportunity to cause a surprise, but we feel that the Robins have enough quality at their disposal to secure the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawOxford United
39.49% (-0.561 -0.56) 25.83% (0.163 0.16) 34.67% (0.392 0.39)
Both teams to score 54.59% (-0.487 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.37% (-0.658 -0.66)49.62% (0.652 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.35% (-0.592 -0.59)71.64% (0.587 0.59)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (-0.58999999999999 -0.59)24.74% (0.584 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.7% (-0.828 -0.83)59.29% (0.82299999999999 0.82)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)27.46% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (-0.1 -0.1)62.95% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 39.49%
    Oxford United 34.67%
    Draw 25.83%
Bristol CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 39.49%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.178 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 8.78% (0.213 0.21)
1-2 @ 7.93% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.67%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Oxford Utd

Bristol City
76.7%
Draw
13.3%
Oxford United
10.0%
30
Head to Head
Jul 22, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Bristol City
4-1
Oxford Utd
Conway (13', 54'), Weimann (27'), Knight (49')
O'Donkor (15')
Aug 12, 2014 7.45pm
Round One
Bristol City
1-2
Oxford Utd
Bryan (2')
Bryan (22'), El-Abd (70')
Morris (55'), Hylton (87')
Collins (60')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
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9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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