Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 17.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
Result | ||
Portland Timbers | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
60.91% ( 0) | 21.19% ( -0) | 17.9% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 53.87% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.98% ( 0.01) | 43.01% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.58% ( 0.01) | 65.41% ( -0.01) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.34% ( 0) | 13.65% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.16% ( 0.01) | 40.84% ( -0.01) |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.39% ( 0.01) | 37.6% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.61% ( 0.01) | 74.38% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Portland Timbers | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
1-0 @ 10.22% 2-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 6.61% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.36% 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.61% 5-0 @ 1.34% 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 60.89% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.19% | 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.46% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.35% Total : 17.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |