Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 46.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Cagliari |
46.99% ( 0.29) | 26.81% ( -0.01) | 26.2% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 47.57% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.21% ( -0.13) | 56.79% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.27% ( -0.1) | 77.73% ( 0.11) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.83% ( 0.08) | 24.18% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.5% ( 0.12) | 58.5% ( -0.11) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.73% ( -0.31) | 37.27% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.95% ( -0.31) | 74.05% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 12.79% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.99% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.73% Total : 26.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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