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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 55.89%. A win for Barnsley has a probability of 23.03% and a draw has a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.59%) and 1-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Barnsley win is 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.3%).
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
55.89% ( -2.16) | 21.07% ( 0.68) | 23.03% ( 1.48) |
Both teams to score 62.88% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.93% ( -1.41) | 35.07% ( 1.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.93% ( -1.59) | 57.06% ( 1.59) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.42% ( -1.06) | 12.57% ( 1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.35% ( -2.24) | 38.64% ( 2.24) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.93% ( 0.43) | 28.07% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.26% ( 0.55) | 63.73% ( -0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.29) 4-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.27) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.16) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.19) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.16) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.44% Total : 55.89% | 1-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.07% | 1-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.32) 0-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.49% Total : 23.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |