Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Montevideo City Torque	Draw	Danubio
44.18%	26.83%	28.99%

Both teams to score 49.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.61%

55.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.41%

76.59%

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.08%

24.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.45%

59.55%

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.75%

34.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.05%

70.95%

Score Analysis

Montevideo City Torque 44.18%

Danubio 28.99%

Draw 26.83%

Montevideo City Torque	Draw	Danubio
1-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 8.24% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.41% Total : 44.18%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8.54% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 9.15% 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.27% Total : 28.99%