Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 52.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.39% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Anderlecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%) , while for a Charleroi win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.