Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.59% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%) , while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.