Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-0 (7.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.