Serie B
Dec 26, 2025 4.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Davide Adorni 16' yellowcard
  • Davide Adorni 17' yellowcard
  • Ettore Gliozzi 40' goal
  • Francesco Zampano 44' yellowcard
  • Daniel Tonoli 90'+1' yellowcard
  • 91' yellowcard
  • Gady-Pierre Beyuku Bowutankoyi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Keita Balde 18'
  • yellowcard Andrea Sottil 18'
  • yellowcard Armando Izzo 39'
  • yellowcard Matteo Pessina 44'
  • goal Paulo Azzi 50'
  • goal Luca Ravanelli 65'
  • yellowcard Paolo Bianco 77'
  • yellowcard Patrick Ciurria 87'

Modena vs Monza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 2.00pm
Modena 1 - 2 Venezia
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Ettore Gliozzi

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 2.00pm
Monza 4 - 1 Carrarese
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Andrea Petagna

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Monza had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Modena 44.57% (-0.01)
Draw 26.54% (+0.01)
Monza 28.89% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.17% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.68% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 54.32% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 24.3% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 75.7% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 10.92% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.09% (+0.01)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5 75.74% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 24.26% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 41.39% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 58.61% (+0.02)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5 66.24% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 33.76% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 29.58% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 70.42% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Modena 44.56%
Draw 26.54%
Monza 28.89%
Modena
1-0 @ 11.59%
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.22%
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.88% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 44.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.19% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.54%
Monza
0-1 @ 8.89% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.84%
0-2 @ 4.83% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 28.89%