Serie B
Dec 20, 2025 2.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Samuele Birindelli 9' goal
  • Paolo Bianco 39' yellowcard
  • Filippo Delli Carri 44' goal
  • Samuele Birindelli 55' goal
  • Andrea Petagna 84' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriele Parlanti 13'
  • yellowcard Simone Zanon 40'
  • yellowcard Julian Illanes Minucci 42'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Schiavi 45'+3'
  • yellowcard 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Schiavi 45'+4'
  • goal Filippo Distefano 74'

Monza vs Carrarese - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 2.00pm
Venezia 2 - 0 Monza
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Hernani

Carrarese

All competitions
Last game
Dec 14, 2025 2.00pm
Carrarese 3 - 1 Virtus Entella
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Fabio Abiuso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 48.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.98% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%) , while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result

Monza 48.65% (-0.44)
Draw 25.98% (+0.02)
Carrarese 25.37% (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.26% (+0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.75% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 54.25% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 24.35% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 75.64% (-0.20)
Over 4.5 10.95% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 89.05% (-0.13)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5 77.68% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 22.32% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 44.21% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 55.79% (+0.15)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5 63.42% (+0.50)
Under 0.5 36.58% (-0.49)
Over 1.5 26.63% (+0.49)
Under 1.5 73.37% (-0.49)

Score analysis

Monza 48.65%
Draw 25.97%
Carrarese 25.37%
Monza
1-0 @ 12.24% (-0.16)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.18% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.32% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 48.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.31% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.64% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.97%
Carrarese
0-1 @ 8.21% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.19% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 4.13% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.08% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.56% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.38% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 25.37%