Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Modena	Draw	Venezia
48.25% ( 0.01)	25.37% ( -0.03)	26.39% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 51.97% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.87% (

0.13)

51.13% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.02% (

0.11)

72.98% (

-0.11)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.79% (

0.05)

21.21% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.9% (

0.08)

54.1% (

-0.08)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.96% (

0.08)

34.04% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.28% (

0.09)

70.72% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Modena 48.24%

Venezia 26.39%

Draw 25.36%

Modena	Draw	Venezia
1-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 48.24%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 26.39%