Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maidenhead United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
36.04% ( -2.13) | 24.48% ( -0.2) | 39.48% ( 2.33) |
Both teams to score 59.57% ( 0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.72% ( 0.85) | 43.28% ( -0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.32% ( 0.83) | 65.68% ( -0.83) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.3% ( -0.74) | 23.7% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.18% ( -1.08) | 57.82% ( 1.08) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.07% ( 1.57) | 21.92% ( -1.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.8% ( 2.32) | 55.2% ( -2.32) |
Score Analysis |
Maidenhead United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.45) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.1% Total : 36.04% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.34) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.29) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.2) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.49% Total : 39.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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