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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Heerenveen |
43.8% ( -1.04) | 24.13% ( -0.02) | 32.06% ( 1.05) |
Both teams to score 59.69% ( 0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.34% ( 0.54) | 42.65% ( -0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.94% ( 0.53) | 65.05% ( -0.53) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.33% ( -0.23) | 19.67% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.34% ( -0.37) | 51.65% ( 0.36) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.31% ( 0.92) | 25.69% ( -0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.39% ( 1.23) | 60.6% ( -1.24) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 43.8% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 2 |
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