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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Heerenveen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 30.43% | 25.82% | 43.75% |
| Both teams to score 53.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.23% | 50.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.34% | 72.66% |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.21% | 30.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.93% | 67.07% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% | 23.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.05% | 56.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 1-0 @ 8.38% 2-1 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 4.94% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.08% 3-0 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.02% Total : 30.43% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 9% 0-2 @ 7.64% 1-3 @ 4.39% 0-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.06% Total : 43.75% |