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League One
Forest Green Rovers
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Oxford United

Forest Green
0 - 3
Oxford Utd

FT(HT: 0-1)
Joseph (11'), Goodrham (46'), Bodin (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 Forest Green
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-0 Cheltenham
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Forest Green Rovers 0-1 Oxford United

 Oxford have finally started to pick up some decent results at the most important stage of the season, and given that this game means far more to them than it does to Forest Green, they are likely to emerge victorious. FGR have had a very poor maiden season in League One, winning just one home game in 2023, and there have been no recent indications they will be able to take anything from Saturday's game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 49.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawOxford United
24.63% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 25.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 49.48% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.56% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.44% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.19% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)75.81% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66% (0.009999999999998 0.01)37.34% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)74.13% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)22.03% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.63% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)55.36% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 24.63%
    Oxford United 49.47%
    Draw 25.89%
Forest Green RoversDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 3.99% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 24.63%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 12.44%
0-2 @ 9.41% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-3 @ 4.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.79% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 49.47%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Oxford Utd

Forest Green Rovers
22.2%
Draw
0.0%
Oxford United
77.8%
9
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Oxford Utd
1-1
Forest Green
Boyes (19' og.)
Matt (60')
Bernard (38')
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
1-1
Forest Green
 Oxford Utd win 4-1 on penalties
Shodipo (64')
Bailey (45+1')
Nov 20, 2018 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Forest Green
0-3
Oxford Utd

McGinley (26')
Henry (36'), Mackie (47'), Browne (78')
Brannagan (65')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
0-0
Forest Green

Mousinho (52'), McMahon (58')

Winchester (60')
Dec 6, 2015 2pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
1-0
Forest Green
Roofe (76')
Hylton (12'), Rose (35')

Sinclair (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Sabalenka
7 4 79
5 6 67
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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