League One

League One | Gameweek 19

Feb 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
3 - 1
Stevenage

Forster (50'), Quitirna (87'), Doyle (90+3')
Ibrahim (14')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hanlan (53')
Piergianni (47'), Phillips (54'), Sweeney (63'), Thompson (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Bolton 4-3 Crawley
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Stevenage

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Charlton 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, February 8 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Stevenage
28.36% ( 4.42)	25.76% ( 1.29)	45.88% ( -5.71)

Both teams to score 52.22% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.49% (

-2.04)

51.51% (

2.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.69% (

-1.81)

73.31% (

1.81)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.31% (

2.54)

32.69% (

-2.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.76% (

2.74)

69.24% (

-2.74)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.58% (

-3.26)

22.42% (

3.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.06% (

-5.13)

55.94% (

5.13)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 28.36%

Stevenage 45.88%

Draw 25.76%

Crawley Town	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 8.19% ( 1.15) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.78) 2-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.91) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.44) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.43) Other @ 2.56% Total : 28.36%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.62) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.45) 0-2 @ 8.19% ( -1.02) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.73) 0-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.99) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.48) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.57) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.18% Total : 45.88%