Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 26.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.