EFL Trophy
Feb 4, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Louis Thompson 59' yellowcard
  • Carl Piergianni 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomoki Iwata 78'
  • goal Jay Stansfield 83'
  • yellowcard Jay Stansfield 84'

Stevenage vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions

Birmingham City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 26.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.

Result

Stevenage 26.52% (-0.01)
Draw 26.58% (-0.01)
Birmingham City 46.91% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.49% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.27% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 55.73% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 23.13% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 76.87% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 10.2% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 89.81% (-0.01)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 63.59% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 36.41% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 26.8%
Under 1.5 73.2% (-0.01)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 76.25% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 23.75% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 42.11% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 57.9% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Stevenage 26.52%
Draw 26.58%
Birmingham City 46.9%
Stevenage
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.35%
2-0 @ 4.41% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 26.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 8.65% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.58%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 12.43%
1-2 @ 9.03% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.94% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.33% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.28% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.56% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 46.9%