Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 26.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Birmingham City
26.52% ( 0.16)	26.58% ( -0.3)	46.91% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 48.49% (

0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.27% (

1.19)

55.73% (

-1.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.13% (

0.96)

76.87% (

-0.96)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.59% (

0.79)

36.41% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.8% (

0.79)

73.2% (

-0.79)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.25% (

0.58)

23.75% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.11% (

0.83)

57.9% (

-0.84)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 26.52%

Birmingham City 46.9%

Draw 26.58%

Stevenage	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.86% Total : 26.52%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.62% Total : 46.9%