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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 14.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 64.4% ( | 21.57% ( | 14.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.45% ( | 51.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.66% ( | 73.34% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.66% ( | 15.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.9% ( | 44.1% ( |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.15% ( | 47.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.88% ( | 83.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 13.76% 2-0 @ 12.89% 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 3-0 @ 8.06% ( 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 4-0 @ 3.78% ( 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 5-0 @ 1.42% ( 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 64.39% | 1-1 @ 10.14% 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 2-2 @ 3.5% Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.57% | 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 1-2 @ 3.74% ( 0-2 @ 1.99% ( 1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.96% Total : 14.02% |