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League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Rotherham logo

Birmingham
2 - 1
Rotherham

Stansfield (54', 81' pen.)
May (86'), Hanley (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nombe (44')
Odofin (40'), Humphreys (73'), Phillips (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 14.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawRotherham United
64.4% (0.015999999999991 0.02)21.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)14.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (0.022000000000006 0.02)51.55% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (0.018999999999998 0.02)73.34% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.66% (0.013000000000005 0.01)15.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.9% (0.021999999999998 0.02)44.1% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.15% (0.0040000000000049 0)47.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)83.12% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 64.39%
    Rotherham United 14.02%
    Draw 21.57%
Birmingham CityDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 13.76%
2-0 @ 12.89%
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 64.39%
1-1 @ 10.14%
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 3.5%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.57%
0-1 @ 5.41% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 14.02%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Rotherham

Birmingham City
82.1%
Draw
7.1%
Rotherham United
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 7
Rotherham
0-2
Birmingham

Tiehi (26'), Hungbo (77'), Raggett (84')
Iwata (14'), Stansfield (22')
Iwata (13'), Davies (14'), Cochrane (75')
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Rotherham
0-0
Birmingham
Hugill (51'), Humphreys (52'), Eaves (84'), Peltier (87')
Anderson (63'), Stansfield (76')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Birmingham
0-0
Rotherham
James (62')
Lindsay (61'), Peltier (71'), Bramall (86')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Birmingham
2-0
Rotherham
Khadra (5'), Long (35')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Rotherham
2-0
Birmingham
Wood (28', 71')
Rathbone (41')

Deeney (41'), James (45+2')