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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 45.69%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 25.38% ( | 28.93% ( | 45.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.77% ( | 64.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.65% ( | 83.35% ( |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.81% ( | 42.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.4% ( | 78.6% ( |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.75% ( | 28.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.04% ( | 63.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% ( 2-1 @ 5.61% ( 2-0 @ 4.44% ( 3-1 @ 1.61% ( 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 3-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 1.13% Total : 25.37% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 11.91% ( 2-2 @ 3.55% ( Other @ 0.46% Total : 28.92% | 0-1 @ 15.06% ( 0-2 @ 9.52% ( 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0-3 @ 4.01% ( 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 1-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.56% Total : 45.69% |