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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Rotherham logo

Burton Albion
4 - 2
Rotherham

Dadi Bodvarsson (8', 41'), Sweeney (39'), McKiernan (47')
McKiernan (27'), Armer (67')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Sibley (2'), Green (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Burton Albion
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 4-2 Charlton
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-2 Rotherham United

Burton Albion should have some much-needed confidence from their return to winning ways on Tuesday, but they face a tough test against a Rotherham United side who finally appear to be making their quality count. Growing in momentum under Evans, we back the Millers to leave the Pirelli Stadium with three more points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 45.69%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawRotherham United
25.38% (-0.103 -0.1) 28.93% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 45.69% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 41.48% (-0.116 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.77% (-0.103 -0.1)64.23% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.65% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)83.35% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.81% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)42.18% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.4% (-0.136 -0.14)78.6% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)28.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)63.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 25.37%
    Rotherham United 45.69%
    Draw 28.92%
Burton AlbionDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.61% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.61% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 25.37%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 11.91% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.55% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 28.92%
0-1 @ 15.06% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 9.52% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.01% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 45.69%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Rotherham

Burton Albion
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Rotherham United
60.0%
15
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Rotherham
2-2
Burton Albion
Clarke-Harris (39'), C (57')
Odofin (74')
Orsi (25'), Cooper Love (71')
Vancooten (54')
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 44
Burton Albion
2-0
Rotherham
Borthwick-Jackson (3'), Brayford (69')
Kokolo (45'), Hamer (73')

Wood (52'), Rathbone (68')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Rotherham
3-1
Burton Albion
Ladapo (24', 48'), Barlaser (84')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Rotherham
3-2
Burton Albion
Smith (9', 46'), Ladapo (71')
Ladapo (93')
Murphy (7'), Sarkic (47')
Sarkic (32')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham29216251193269
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe30179456312560
3Wrexham30177645252058
4Stockport CountyStockport32169749301957
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield30157843271652
6Leyton Orient301551046271950
7Charlton AthleticCharlton31148940301050
8Bolton WanderersBolton31155115048250
9Reading31147104643349
10Barnsley31127124343043
11Blackpool3191484544141
12Stevenage30118112931-241
13Lincoln CityLincoln311010113838040
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham31108133537-238
15Mansfield TownMansfield30115143841-338
16Exeter CityExeter30105153446-1235
17Bristol Rovers30105153246-1435
18Wigan AthleticWigan2997132730-334
19Northampton TownNorthampton3189142947-1833
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3187164758-1131
21Crawley TownCrawley3077163454-2028
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3176183353-2027
23Burton Albion31511153248-1626
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3158183056-2623


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