League One Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • Ben Radcliffe 50' yellowcard
  • Ben Radcliffe 50' yellowcard
  • Bradley Ibrahim 70' yellowcard
  • Tola Showunmi 72' goal
  • Dion Conroy 73' yellowcard
  • Panutche Camara 81' yellowcard
  • Charlie Barker 86' yellowcard
  • goal Rumarn Burrell 25'
  • yellowcard Owen Dodgson 55'
  • yellowcard Terence Vancooten 90'+4'

Crawley Town vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2025 3.00pm
Barnsley 3 - 0 Crawley
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Rushian Hepburn-Murphy

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2025 12.30pm
Burton Albion 0 - 1 Northampton
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Rumarn Burrell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Crawley Town 40.13% (-0.05)
Draw 24.96% (+0.02)
Burton Albion 34.91% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.65% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.29% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 45.7% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 31.97% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 68.02% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 16.06% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.94% (+0.04)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.33% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 22.67% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 43.69% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 56.31% (+0.08)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 74.54% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 25.46% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 39.71% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 60.29% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Crawley Town 40.13%
Draw 24.96%
Burton Albion 34.91%
Crawley Town
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.57% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.36% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 40.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.77% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.96%
Burton Albion
1-2 @ 8.02% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.89% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.4% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.66% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.46% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 34.91%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 5
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Charlie Webster 38' yellowcard
  • Jack Armer 69' yellowcard
  • Alex Bannon 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Forster 40'
League Two
Mar 31, 2012 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andy Corbett 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle McFadzean 72'
League Two
Dec 10, 2011 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Claude Davis 22' goal
  • Aaron Webster 56' goal
  • Matt Tubbs 83' goal
  • Claude Davis 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Bolder 10'