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Crawley Town
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Burton Albion

Crawley
1 - 1
Burton Albion

Showunmi (72')
Radcliffe (50'), Radcliffe (50'), Ibrahim (70'), Conroy (73'), Camara (81'), Barker (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burrell (25')
Dodgson (55'), Vancooten (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 3-0 Crawley
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Northampton
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawBurton Albion
40.13% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)24.96% (0.011999999999997 0.01)34.91% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.65% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)45.7% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)68.02% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)22.67% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69% (-0.07 -0.07)56.31% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)60.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 40.13%
    Burton Albion 34.91%
    Draw 24.96%
Crawley TownDrawBurton Albion
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.57% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 40.13%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.77% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.96%
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.4% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.25%
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.91%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Burton Albion
0-0
Crawley
Webster (38'), Armer (69'), Bannon (90+1')
Forster (40')
Mar 31, 2012 3pm
Dec 10, 2011 3pm
Crawley
3-0
Burton Albion
Davis (22'), Tubbs (83'), Webster (56' og.)
Davis (90')

Bolder (10')