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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 40.13% ( | 24.96% ( | 34.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.29% ( | 45.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.97% ( | 68.02% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( | 22.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.69% ( | 56.31% ( |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( | 25.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.71% ( | 60.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 1-0 @ 8.57% ( 2-0 @ 6.36% ( 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 3-0 @ 3.15% ( 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 4-2 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.13% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 3-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0-2 @ 5.4% ( 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 1-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.91% |